23 August 2014

Reparations for Red-lining?





'Ingenious and powerful,' 'important and compelling', 'stunningly ambitious;' it has 'broken traffic records and vanished from newsstands,' 'setting ablaze' social media.  What is it?

It is 'The Case for Reparations,' Atlantic's June 2014 cover story by editor Ta-Nehisi Coates.



The idea has been tossed around since Emancipation, falling out of fashion as of late. Coates brings it roaring back in this long-form piece, calling on Euro-Americans to 1) publicly express their guilt about past oppression, and 2) pay reparation money to their Afro countrymen.  Does his argument hold water?

The 17-page article covers much ground, but it seems Coates seeks redress for three major wrongs:

  • Slavery
  • Land theft
  • Red-lining

They are three quite different topics, and should be treated as such.  We shall begin by addressing the most recent: so-called 'redlining.'

Coates tells the story of Clyde Ross, son of Mississipi sharecroppers who came to Chicago in the Great Migration:
'Three months after Clyde Ross moved into his house, the boiler blew out. This would normally be a homeowner’s responsibility, but in fact, Ross was not really a homeowner. His payments were made to the seller, not the bank. And Ross had not signed a normal mortgage. He’d bought “on contract”: a predatory agreement that combined all the responsibilities of homeownership with all the disadvantages of renting—while offering the benefits of neither. 
Ross had bought his house for $27,500. The seller, not the previous homeowner but a new kind of middleman, had bought it for only $12,000 six months before selling it to Ross. In a contract sale, the seller kept the deed until the contract was paid in full—and, unlike with a normal mortgage, Ross would acquire no equity in the meantime.'

Why was Ross obliged to buy a house 'on contract'? Because he could secure no regular mortgage financing. Chances are, in large part because he was Afro-American.





I.  Neighborhood redlining



1) Neighborhood redlining--where Coates is right

Most current discussion of the practice focuses only on its racial aspect. But what is it really?

For those who think the 10% down, thirty-year home mortgage was always our birthight, think again. Before the 1930s, the typical 'balloon mortgage' required up to 50% down and had to be paid off in 5 to 10 years. After the Depression gutted the real estate market, FDR created the Federal Housing Administration to coax banks into issuing the kind of mortgages we know and love today.  Suddenly Joe Welder and Jane Nurse were kings of their castle and, more importantly for Uncle Sam, construction swung into full boom, putting thousands back to work.

                                                                                            1930s ad touting the new FHA-backed mortgage

How to lure banks into issuing these newfangled mortgages?  By promising that if one went sour, the FHA--read, the taxpayers--would foot the bill.  This was uncharted territory.  To avoid fiscal disaster, the FHA set lending criteria so strict that foreclosure would be all but impossible.  How strict?

They gauged two things:

  1. The creditworthiness of the borrower
  2. The likelihood that the house's property value would stay steady / go up

The first was highly individual, and there were of course persons of all races who were both very good and very bad credit risks.

The second, however, is where Ta-Nehisi Coates and co. take umbrage.  For it was not just you that was judged, but the neighborhood in which you wanted to buy a house. Here is where things get exceedingly sticky:
This added another critical element to the conservative stance the FHA had to adopt—namely, the property had to retain or increase its value throughout the entire term of the mortgage. To assure that this was accomplished, the Agency created a set of fully articulated and elaborated standards covering all feasible elements of housing development and home construction. (1)

In its (some say outrageous) excess of caution, FHA discouraged offering mortgages on homes found in zones 'Yellow (C)' and 'Red (D)' on its city maps, judging that property values there were surely 'on the decline,' and thus that there was a high risk Uncle Sam would end up footing the bill.

So what were these mysterious 'Yellow (C)' and 'Red (D)' zones?  The FHA in 1937 explains:



"Green areas [A] are "hot spots"; they are not yet fully built up. In nearly all instances they are the new well-planned sections of the city, and almost synonymous with the areas where good mortgage lenders with available funds are willing to make their maximum loans to be amortized over a 10-15-year period ... They are homogeneous; in demand as residential locations in "good time" or "bad;..." 
"Blue areas [B], as a rule, are completely developed. They are like a 1935 automobile: still good, but not what the people are buying today who can afford a new one. They are the neighborhoods where good mortgage lenders will have a tendency to hold loan commitments 10-15% under the limit."

These two zones were considered 'totally safe' and received the overwhelming majority of FHA-backed lending.


"Yellow areas [C] are characterized by age, obsolescence, and change of style; expiring restrictions or lack of them; infiltration of a lower grade population; ... inadequate transportation, insufficient utilities, perhaps heavy tax burdens, poor maintenance of homes, etc. "Jerry" built areas are included, as well as neighborhoods lacking homogeneity. Generally, these areas have reached the transition period. Good mortgage lenders are more conservative in the Yellow areas... "
"Red areas [D] ... are characterized by detrimental influences in a pronounced degree, undesirable population or infiltration of it. Low percentage of home ownership, very poor maintenance and often vandalism prevail. Unstable incomes of the people and difficult collections are usually prevalent.... Some mortgage lenders may refuse to make loans in these neighborhoods and others will lend only on a conservative basis."

(Take a look yourself to see how your neighborhood stacked up in the 1930s.)


 And how did the FHA decide who was 'declining' or 'hazardous'?
The fundamental requirements of FHA’s underwriting were extraordinary. These manuals were composed of nearly 2000 sections covering all feasible aspects of housing development and construction... standards on sub-soil, soil, and landscaping, foundations, walls, number of rooms, number and dimensions of bedrooms, bathrooms, kitchens, living and dining rooms, ... windows, dimensions of windows, and indeed the requirement to have a picture window on a particular wall. Also mandated were the requirements of the plumbing and sewer discharge, central heating, and the electrical system... (1)
...Phew.

Each FHA map was accompanied by detailed descriptions of neighborhhoods in each zone. Some of the original 1930s documents are available online: Ohio citiesHartford, CT, and a handful for Los Angeles.  To lay to rest any doubt about the hazard Afros were considered to property values, here is the original 1939 description of a 'red zone' Pasadena neighborhood by its FHA appraisers:



James Greer:
...Clearly, for some of the city’s residents, all neighborhoods in which they reside are in areas that the HOLC graded as very poor risk. This is the case for all African-American neighborhoods. [...] For all ethnic or racial groups other than blacks, some neighborhoods are graded very poorly while others receive high or very high mortgage risk grades.  (1)

At first glance, it seems this FHA policy sharply reduced Afros' ability to buy a home:
Between 1934 and 1954, minorities accounted for less than 1 percent of the FHA’s mortgage insurance nationally [while 10% of the U.S. population]. As late as 1950, the FHA or the VA had insured mortgages on twelve thousand white, owner-occupied single-family homes nationally, but only 367 mortgages for black-occupied, single-family homes. (8)



Coates is correct, then, that the FHA considered Afros more dangerous to property values than any other group. But there is quite a bit more to the story.




2) Neighborhood redlining--what Coates leaves out



Coates has presented one picture of redlining:  That is was enforced by the FHA since the 1930s, that it kept Afros stuck in crumbling inner cities and excluded them from the mortgage market and thus from amassing wealth.  How true is it?


a) Redlining largely pre-dated the FHA:

Even before the Depression, private lenders chose to avoid certain areas, particularly those home to African Americans, certain ethnic groups including new immigrants, and with older, cheaper housing. There is no evidence that they used red lines on maps to mark off these areas, but they were practicing redlining. 
During the 1930s, real estate agents, appraisers, and lenders all became obsessed with neighborhood risk ratings. [...] The longterm self-amortizing loans that HOLC (fifteen-year) and FHA (thirty-year) instituted made lenders much more eager to consider the long-term prospect of their investments. (2)
But the negative impact of central city residence cannot be attributed to FHA-VA policies per se because a similar negative impact existed prior to 1940, that is well before the federal government began to intervene in housing markets.   (3)


Those who put together the redlining maps were simply real estate professionals codifying what was already widely practiced:
... From 1935 to 1940, HOLC [Home Owner Loan Corporation, pre-FHA New Deal entity] appraisers sought the input and assistance from local real estate developers and realtors as well as officials in banking and the local S&L industry and prominent local officials. [...] 5,000 private real estate agents and bankers were involved in the development of these maps. (1)


b) Afro population was only one 'risk factor' among many

James Greer looked at the demographics of 'red zone' neighborhoods in 62 cities. He found a variety of factors pushed the risk up or down, with '% Black' near the middle of the pack:




c) Most people living in 'red zones' were and are Whites:

Redlining is not co-terminus even loosely with the boundaries of the existing non-white ghettos in American cities [in 1937] ... Indeed, most striking is the fact that not only are those communities which are redlined overwhelmingly populated by whites, even decades later, most of the population in these redlined areas were predominantly white.  (1)


d) The FHA's biggest bias wasn't anti-black but anti-downtown:

The suburban bias of the FHA was extraordinary. For example, 91% of the homes insured by the agency in metropolitan St. Louis between 1935 and 1939 were in the suburbs. This practice would continue into the 60s and even the 70s.  (5)

It is clear, looking at the original FHA maps, that their biggest bias was in fact anti-central city.  New construction = safe, older homes = hazardous:


We must remember that in the 1930s, many older downtown buildings were still quite primitive: No electricity or gas hook-ups, no central plumbing or heating, little aeration... The FHA demanded totally modern amenities on any home it insured, leaving many in these older areas--both white and black--in the dust.


e) Most home loans were not and are not FHA-insured:

From 1938 to 1962, the FHA insured the mortgages on nearly one third of all new housing in the United States. ...[This number] has remained well below 20 percent since 1980. In fact, by 1997, outstanding FHA mortgages amounted to just 12 percent of the volume of conventional mortgages.


f) Black home ownership shot up during the redlining era:

Contrary to popular narrative, the FHA era did not see a dip but a massive upswing in Afro home ownership:
...Several pieces of evidence suggest that the indictment of these [FHA] policies may be somewhat overblown. [...] Whatever the role of redlining, the census data on mortgages clearly demonstrate that the percentage of black homeowners who held mortgages was vastly higher after 1940 than before; that is, even if black households lacked access to FHA-insured loans, they must have had access to other types of mortgage finance. (3)

This Black-White gap, as we can see, not only existed before the FHA was born, but has continued since redlining was officially outlawed--indeed long after the launch of massive minority homeowner outreach:


During the FHA heyday, just as before it and after it, mortgage lending was happening anywhere there was money to be made. In Philadelphia:
...analysis of mortgage lending in Philadelphia for the decade after HOLC [FHA entity] made its maps [1938-1950] shows that lenders did not categorically refuse to make loans to areas colored red by HOLC or provide loans with considerably different terms. Together, these findings cast doubt on the argument that HOLC caused redlining, ... (2)

The study finds that of all the vast red zones in Philly, only very small subsections were likely 'redlined':



So where did home funding for Afros come from? Besides the 'contract selling' mentioned above, there was also the classic pre-Depression B&L (building and loan, or 'thrift'):
By 1930, seventy-three minority-owned thrifts with combined assets of more than $6.5 million were in operation across the country, and every major city with a sizable African American population had at least one such association. Philadelphia, where the thrift industry began and which was known as the "City of Homes," laid claim to nearly half of all minority-owned thrifts.  (4)


During the 'redlining era,' then, we see that millions of Blacks were able to purchase homes--that in fact Black homeownership reached then-record levels.  Nonetheless, Coates is right that Afros were labelled an 'unharmonious racial group' by the FHA, surely stymying their efforts to obtain property. Why was this so?




3) Neighborhood redlining--why do Afros bring down property values?


                                                                       White Detroiters protest new federal housing project, 1942

What Coates glosses over in his piece, then, is the why of housing segregation. He seems to believe that Euros shunned Afro neighbors out of sheer malevolence, or perhaps an irrational fear of melanin. Is it the truth?

We addressed this question in detail last year in Whence Housing Segregation?, to which we kindly point readers unfamiliar with the subject.  Here we shall sum up the essential:


Coates quotes a white homeowner in Levittown, PA, who says of his new black neighbor, David Myers, “[he's] probably a nice guy, but every time I look at him I see $2,000 drop off the value of my house.”  Confirmation from a 1919 Chicago race commission report:
No single factor has complicated the relations of Negroes and whites in Chicago more than the widespread feeling of white people that the presence of Negroes in a neighborhood is a cause of serious depreciation of property. 
[...] A leading real estate dealer said that "when a Negro moves into a block the value of the properties on both sides of the street is depreciated all the way from $100,000 to $500,000 [$1,300,000 to $6,500,000 today], depending upon the value of the property in the block"; that it was a fact and that there was no escaping it.   (10)


The same was true across the country at the time, and is still true today:


But why?  There were four main reasons, and readers today may be surprised to learn that little has changed in a hundred years:


a) Neighborhood upkeep

                                             Decay: Soaring unemployment and the flight of thousands of city residents has resulted in urban blight spreading across the city
                                                                                                           Camden, New Jersey
Yesterday:
The exclusive occupancy [in Chicago] of a block by Negroes is usually followed by less care of streets and alleys. [...] From the office manager of a South Side real estate firm:  Much depreciation, he said, can be attributed to Negro tenants; they are much harder on houses than white tenants of the same station in life; they do not take proper care of the furnaces or plumbing, and the higher rents paid by them merely cover the cost of the additional repairs;...  (10)
Today:
White residents [in 2005 Chicago] were far more likely to report disorder than black or Latino residents living in the same neighborhood -- sensitivities that might explain, they theorized, why whites are relatively scarce in many city neighborhoods.  [...] As the percentage of African Americans in the neighborhood increased, the percentage of black [as well as white and Latino] residents who judged their neighborhood to be in disarray also rose.

A sense of general disorder has long followed Afros into the areas in which they live.



b) Health threats 

Yesterday:
Again, the susceptibility of the Negro to disease is another very potent reason for segregation laws. The Negro's manner of living since his emancipation irregular in every way, sometimes half-starved together with their immoral habits, have so weakened the constitutions of a great part of them that they easily become victims to disease. (11)


Today:

A wide variety of diseases are currently more prevalent among Afros than Euros, and studies are beginning to show possible genetic susceptibilities, among them  HIVtuberculosisprostate cancerhypertension, and obesity.

'Diverse' neighborhoods have been reported to have negative health correlations for Whites:
With the exception of males ages 1–9, the fraction of the population that is black is a significant risk to mortality at all ages. It is particularly high for 15–19-year-old males, falling off for the following 15 years, but rising again rapidly thereafter. The correlation is present for all age groups of women. These results are consistent with work by Miller and Paxson (2001) that finds the fraction black is correlated with mortality among whites aged 25–64 across a wide range of diseases.


c) Lack of family values

                                                
                                                                                              Mother and two children on welfare, Chicago, 1941
Yesterday:
[W.E.B. DuBois, writing of Philadelphia in 1899:]  The number of deserted wives, however, allowing for false reports, is astoundingly large and presents many intricate problems. A very large part of charity given to Negroes is asked for this reason. ... Here is a wide field for social regeneration.   
[...] There can be no doubt but what sexual looseness is to-day the prevailing sin of the mass of the Negro population, and that its prevalence can be traced to bad home life in most cases. Children are allowed on the street night and day unattended; loose talk is often indulged in; the sin is seldom if ever denounced in the churches.  (12)
[Collins:]  Huffman says that in 1894 more than one-fourth of the colored births in the city of Washington were illegitimate. Many prominent Negroes admit that above ninety per cent of both sexes are unchaste. A negro may be a pillar in the church and at the same time the father of a dozen illegitimate children by as many mothers.  (11) 

Today:

Euro-Americans still sense that their Afro co-citizens do not share their familial values, and that this makes them poor neighbors. The latter have lower marriage rates, higher divorce rates, more unwed motherhood  (formerly known as 'illegitimacy'), more child abuse, engage in more gambling, have poorer credit, their children have more school discipline problems, and they're far less likely to have two parents in the home:

                                                                                                                               Data source


d) Criminality

 Yesterday:
[W.E.B. DuBois:] In the city of Philadelphia the increasing number of bold and daring crimes committed by Negroes in the last ten years [1889-1899] has focused the attention of the city on this subject. There is a widespread feeling that something is wrong with a race that is responsible for so much crime, and that strong remedies are called for.   (12)
The numbers bear him out:










(Data source: U.S. compendia of the Census 187018801890,



Today:

These concerns remain current a century later:




Coates' insistence, then, that segregation policy was somehow irrational is little supported. The evidence clearly shows that from the Great Migration onward, Afros' reputation preceded them--and where it did not, Euros quickly fled what they reasonably perceived as highly undesirable neighbors.





II.  Individual redlining



1) Individual redlining--the evidence

Neighborhood redlining was officially outlawed by the 1968 Fair Housing Act.  But all was not well. Now, we are told, instead of refusing to lend for homes in black neighborhoods, banks are often refusing to lend to black people at all--individual redlining, or 'mortgage discrimination.'

Schafer and Ladd in a 1978 study on California and New York found that Blacks were being denied loans more than Whites, even with similar credit ratings:
In 18 of the 32 California areas and six of the ten New York areas, black applicants had significantly higher chances of loan denial than similarly situated whites. The differences were large, with black applicants being 1.58 to 7.82 times as likely to be denied as whites. (9)

A 1990  Boston Fed study found the same:
If the typical denial rate for whites was 10 percent, the typical denial rate for a comparable black applicant would be about 18 percent. Given the comprehensiveness of the set of control variables, it is hard to avoid the conclusion that the remaining differentials between whites and minorities indicate that lenders discriminate against minorities in the lending decision. (9)

These are but a few of a long list of such studies. It would seem that even with similar credit histories to Euros, Afros are turned down more often for loans. How could this be? Isn't everybody's money green?


2) Individual redlining--why are Afros considered a bad credit risk?

If Whites and Blacks with comparable credit histories really do default at the same levels, then why would lenders leave money on the table by turning Blacks down at higher rates?

In a study on 220,000 FHA-backed home loans from 1987-1989, Berkovec et. al. found a clue:
Indeed, black borrowers are found, all else being equal, to exhibit a higher likelihood of mortgage default than other borrowers. These findings argue against allegations of substantial levels of bias in mortgage lending. ... This finding is the opposite of the prediction of the model for lender bias against black borrowers.  (6)
In other words, just as an 18-year-old woman and an 18-year-old man won't be charged the same for car insurance, actuaries having noticed that the latter tends to get in more accidents, a 'similar credit history' for Afros and Euros may not mean what we think it means.

                                                                                                                              Data source

A 2008 Federal Reserve study on 300,000 credit records from 2003-2004 ('the most comprehensive examination of the relationship between race, creditworthiness and loan performance to date') found that
Blacks and Hispanics tend to perform worse on their credit obligations than white borrowers with similar credit scores. These differences are reduced, but not eliminated, when other personal demographic or neighborhood characteristics are controlled for. This result suggests that the credit scores for black and Hispanic borrowers tend to be higher than their subsequent credit performance would warrant.  (7)



A reminder of global credit scores in the U.S by race (these statistics indicate to certain lenders that Afros may be less future-oriented and thus higher-risk):



As the Federal Reserve's own analysts say,
Everything else the same, this result suggests that lenders might have economic incentives to discriminate by charging black borrowers higher interest rates (or having higher deny rates for black applicants) than white borrowers with comparable assessments of creditworthiness (as measured by credit scores). (7)




III.  Reparations merited?

Having looked at the history of redlining, both neighborhood and individual, as well as the Afro character traits that drive it, can we agree with Mr. Coates that present-day reparations are merited?



1) Reparations for redlining--The pros

James Greer, while very critical of the prevailing narrative on redlining, admits that
...Much worse, a de jure policy of the FHA and especially odious, was the FHA’s adamant refusal to provide mortgage insurance even on newly constructed homes if these homes were available for non-white occupancy. (1)

The fact that Afros were able to secure home loans--through predadory 'contract selling' or classic Black building and loans or elsewhere--doesn't change the fact that the FHA severely limited their options, more so perhaps than what was merited by their reputation as undesirable neighbors and high credit risks.

There were exceptions, but they were vanishingly rare:
The FHA, for example, funded Aiken’s building of “America’s first and only all-colored modernized home” on Atlanta’s west side in 1935. [...] FHA officials John Millsaps and Harry Burns “heartily commended” Aiken and, along with thousands of Atlantans, toured the home that April. Despite this promising start, FHA-or VA-backed black projects were rare, and each was a victory. (8)

The fact is, FHA's racially exclusionary lending guidelines may have done much to keep Blacks cloistered in inner cities, where landlords could charge exorbitant rents (knowing Blacks' options were limited), and leaving them easy prey for unscrupulous blockbusters and contract sellers who profited from their disadvantage.



2) Reparations for redlining--The cons


Chicago in red and yellow

Coates' suggestion to hand over to today's Afro-Americans, in the form of cash, the difference between current per capita black and white net worth is not reasonable. The chicken or the egg: While FHA redlining surely gave Euros a headstart on home ownership, we cannot assume the wealth difference between Whites and Blacks today is based solely or even mainly on this factor. The large homeownership gaps existed long before the FHA was born, lasted through the redlining era (1935-1968), and still continue today:

                                                                                                                                                       Image source

  As we have seen, Afro-Americans:

  • have poorer credit than other groups
  • are considered undesirable neighbors, thus bringing down property values, a large reason why their homes are worth less than those of other groups


Both are factors endogenous to Afros, not imposed from the outside. In our estimation, they explain the bulk of the difference in White-Black net worth today, nearly 50 years after the end of FHA redlining.  They also go a long way towards explaining Euro-Americans' traditional hesitation to live near or lend money to Afros.


                                                                                                                             Image source


What could the FHA have done differently? While they were right that Blacks moving into a neighborhood hurt property values, the FHA was in a unique position to encourage earmarking some suburban land for black-only development (like the Lexington subdivision cited above).  Racially homogeneous black areas should not have been excluded a priori from 'safe lending zones.'

Not taking this initiative was, we believe, a mistake. Does it merit reparations? As a cash payout, no. Millions of Blacks did find mortgage financing, and we think the evidence shows their property values would likely have remained low relative to Whites' whether the FHA existed or not.


The way to right this historical wrong is, in our view, to

  1. Outlaw neighborhood redlining
  2. Launch a federally-led outreach to potential Afro home-buyers, encouraging them to know their rights and options.

In fact, both have already happened.  The 1968 Fair Housing Act (Title VIII of the Civil Rights Act) led the way, outlawing racial lending discrimination as well as racially restrictive covenants. Followed :


...all with clauses encouraging more lending to borrowers of color.  The ultimate fruit of all this 'outreach,' as we now know, was in part the 2007 Minority Mortgage Meltdown, for which the U.S. taxpayer still hasn't finished shelling out, as well as a failure to close the persistent homeownership gap or wealth gap (above).



We argue that though the FHA's policy was racially exclusionary, at the time it could not have reasonably taken another.  Out of the depths of the Great Depression, where millions lost or almost lost their homes, the government was desperate to get the real estate market back on track. Part of that effort was the FHA's promise to insure home loans--but only the very 'safest bets.' Based on Whites' outright refusal to live near Blacks, at that time the 'safest bets' unfortunately did not include homes in Afro neighborhoods. Our only reproach is that the FHA did not encourage the development of black-only suburbs.


*     *     *

Coates claims that the redlining story is a tragic one, and he is right. Blacks had to live with endless indignities, constantly reminded of their status as second-class citizens.  The unpleasant reality Coates is apparently not equipped to see is that millennia of natural selection have led Afros and Euros down vastly different paths. Lower future orientation; higher impulsivity; lower cooperativeness, conscientiousness, and organizing ability are but some of the character traits that have led Euros to deem Afros undesirable neighbors and high credit risks.


This is the 'white supremacy' Coates rails against, and it is unfortunately baked into the genetic cake. The only real solution, of course, is to go back in time and prevent African slave ships from ever leaving those shores. As Richard Pryor said on his trip to Kenya, 'There are no niggers here.'

But that cake, too, cannot be unbaked. After the Great Migration, the American mortgage system found itself confronted with an unsolvable problem--how to manage home lending with two racial groups who could not live harmoniously side-by-side? We argue that with the information they had at the time, the FHA did almost, but not quite, as well as it could have.


The post-1968 institutional efforts to right past wrongs have been far-reaching and aggressively pro-minority. The original FHA underwriters used excessive caution, so much so that the agency stayed solvent for over seventy years.  Now, after the Clinton and Bush era with its massive political pressure to lend to minorities (credit-worthy or not), this august institution is finally teetering on the edge of bankruptcy.  If Coates is seeking reparations for past home-lending injustice, we think it's safe to say the trillion-plus subprime bail-out price tag has more than evened the score.



Enfin, we encourage Coates and his coterie to look beyond their limited narrative and to realize that it was not an irrational fear of melanin, but a healthy skepticism about the ability of NW Euros and Sub-Saharan Afros to co-habit peacefully that drove our forebears' extreme lending caution. If anything, the events of these past forty post-redlining years seem to have largely proved them right.




*     *     *

Coates' remaining two demands (reparations for land theft and slavery) shall be addressed in a later post. Stay tuned.



Previously:

REFERENCES:

(1) Greer, James. 'Race and Mortgage Redlining in the United States.' Paper presented at Western Political Science Association Meetings, Portland, 2012.
(2) Hillier, Amy. 'Redlining and the Homeowners' Loan Corporation,' Journal of Urban History, Volume 29, Issue 4, 2003.
(3) Collins, William J. and Margo, Robert A.  'Race and Home Ownership, 1900-1990,' National Bureau of Economic Research, 1999.
(4) Mason, David L.'The Role of African American Savings and Loans in Home Finance, 1880-1980,' Business History Conference, 2010.
(5) Smith, Sam. 'Making Cities Black and Poor: The Hidden Story.'  The Progressive Review, Jan. 2000.
(6) Berkovec, James A. et. al. 'Mortgage Discrimination and FHA Loan Performance,' Cityscape: A Journal of Policy Development and Research, Volume 2, Number 1, Feb. 1996.
(7) Avery, Robert B. et. al. 'Credit Scores, Race, and the Life Cycle of Credit: Evidence from Credit Records,' U.S. Federal Reserve, 2008.
(8) Lands, Leeann. The Culture of Property:Race, Class, and Housing Landscapes in Atlanta, 1880-1950, Athens: U. of Georgia Press, 2009.
(9) Ladd, Helen F. 'Evidence on Discrimination in Mortgage Lending,' The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 12, No. 2, Spring, 1998.
(10) Chicago Commission on Race Relations, The Negro in Chicago, Chicago: U. of Chicago Press, 1922.
(11) Collins, W.H., The Truth About Lynching and the Negro in the South, New York: Neale Publishing Co., 1918.
(12) Dubois, W. E.B. The Philadelphia Negro: A Social Study. Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 1899.

24 comments:

YIH said...

I remember about '91/'92 I used to be a regular viewer of an (American, PBS) show known as The McLaughlin Group. The host John McLaughlin would throw out topics based on current news. He and the other four panel members would debate/argue their points of view on them.
One topic that came up was [Domino's] ''pizza redlining'' the policy that certain areas of cities were 'no order areas' that drivers would not deliver to. When the media and African activists discovered that the typical complaint was heard; ''racism!''.
Being that most of the panel are of the political 'right' they agreed with that idea. One of them was Eleanor Clift, the show's ''voice of the left''. Of course she did the standard 'liberal' handwringing about ''how awful that was'' but then added ''but my son drives for Domino's and I'm concerned for his safety'' (the show is out of the Washington DC area).
In short, she didn't want her son hurt (or killed) just so some African could get some free pizza and pocket money.
To this day the company's adverting has the disclaimer ''delivery area limited to encourage safe driving'' due to an unrelated controversy.

anon said...

seller contract mortgages are still common in the lilly white northwest.
usually 10 years at 10% and the complaint is that the sellers usually get the property back when the poor risks inevitably default. however this is usually on property that banks wont touch and to people who couldn't possibly qualify for a loan.Those that are better than they seem manage to aquire property they otherwise couldnt and sellers can sell property hard to sell without a loan system. There are sometimes restrictions like a timber clause that prevents a buyer from logging land he has not paid off. and certainly the owner holds the deed as the bank does in many states and does for all intents in most states.I also live in a gentrifying neighborhood part of the year where blacks fight tooth and nail any improvement.

M.G. said...

YIH--

Yes, it's another case of 'the rubber hitting the road.' Many Whites in the North were happy to lecture Southerners about racial equality, until the objects of their affection moved in next door--then there was a mad scramble for racial zoning (struck down in 1917) and racial restrictive covenants (outlawed in 1948, still used til '68). Just like the criticizing of Domino's until it's your son that's involved--well in that case, no, of course he should avoid certain areas... It's the same hypocrisy, different context.

Also you made me remember Dave Chapelle had a funny bit about delivering pizza in D.C., I'll have to go dig it up.

M.G. said...

anon--

Thanks for your comment. Coates' article got me interested in contract selling and I was surprised to see it still exists. It seems like a kind of 'rent-to-own' situation. (Had a friend who drove for a rent-to-own furniture place in the ghetto, they were always repossessing almost-paid-for stuff.) It does look, as you say, like a last resort for those whom no mortgage lender will touch. This study from the Minneapolis Fed gives the numbers for 2005 --> 5% of all homeowners on 'contracts for deed,' with 4.4% Whites, 7.1% Blacks, and 9.5% Hispanics.

Coates' article was a little light on numbers though. We know millions of Blacks bought homes in the redlining era; how many of them were on contract? How many were conventional mortgages? How many went through all-black S&Ls, versus regular banks? I wasn't able to find that info but I'm still looking for it. I'm still skeptical of the 'Blacks couldn't get regular mortgages' argument. How much of that was them being poor credit risks vs. how much was pure racial exclusion? Maybe the story isn't 'Blacks had to buy on contract,' but 'Poor credit risks had to buy on contract, Black or White,' and more Blacks than average fell into that group. I'd really like to know.

Anonymous said...

Do you think that today eastern Europeans would still be seen as a higher risk than Africans?

Was it only because the eastern Europeans were still so new to the country that they had trouble paying their bills?

I guess my main question is if you think it's genetic or environmental traits that was causing the eastern Europeans to have riskier mortgages.

Californian said...

Blacks owe white people reparations. Reparations for:
* The massive amounts of black-on-white crime.
* Lowering the property values of white homeowners.
* Riots from Watts to Ferguson.
* The costs for black welfare, black incarceration, black remedial education, and etc.
* Wrecking cities like Detroit, Newark, Birmingham.
* Wrecking countries like Rhodesia and South Africa.
* The endless mindless hustling for another buck.
* And oh yeah, all the destruction caused by the Civil War.

Californian said...

Here's my point: black politics devolve down to endless demands upon YT. And the more concessions which white people make, the more blacks want. It will only end when white people stand up and say "NO!"

Look at the current fracas in Ferguson. Blacks are more than willing to take it to the streets, burn down a neighborhood or two, and demand a legal lynching of a police officer. And they can expect the entire establishment, from the mainstream media to the White House, to be cheerleading them along.

There is never a middle ground with blacks. If they are not kept down, they take over. I mean, it would be nice to think that we could all be Americans together, but black politics will not allow for that.

One begins to understand segregation (even if one does not support it). And it is certainly why there was apartheid in South Africa. When whites take the controls off of blacks, this is what happens. You do not get equality or civility. You end up having to deal with a situation like barbarian raiders circling about city walls. Either pay them off, or see them pillage your outlying villages. And when they get strong enough, the barbarians eventually take over (cf South Africa). Of course, they can not maintain civilization to white levels, so everything self-destructs and then the video spots appear of wide eyed black children and begging bowls (hastily switched from the AK-47s they were holding).

Now you have to wonder how far things are going to go before there is a white backlash. Something like this happened in the late 19th century in the USA, when Southerners imposed de jure segregation, and northerners de facto. And when it does come, it will not be pleasant.

M.G. said...

Anon--

From what I've read, though many E. Europeans started poor, a great many were able to move into the middle class within a few generations and were not seen as very undesirable neighbors.

Some examples: The biggest city whose FHA 'neigbhorhood descriptions' I've found online is Cleveland (scroll down). Looking at Zone B (Blue = safe zone) descriptions, you find the following:

Zone B-10: 'Noticeable infiltration of Slavish and Polish into the eastern section [...] Thus far, the foreign influx has been of the better type.'

Zone B-11: 'Very gradual infiltration of better type Slavish [...] properties well-maintained.'

Zone B-12: 'Slavish and Polish, second generation'

Zone B-21: 'Slavish and German of better type'

Zone B-23: 'Some Hungarians of the better class'

Zone B-31: 'Bohemian, Polish, German...more desirable higher-income groups of foreign descent'

Remember, these are all in Zone B (blue zone, 'good' or 'totally safe' from the FHA's perspective). From the example in my post about Los Angeles, remember that it took just a handful of upper middle-class Blacks to set off a wave of panic selling in a Pasadena neighborhood and earn it a rating of 'D' (red zone = hazardous).

So my sense is that once E. Europeans moved into the middle class, they were seen not as the most desirable neighbors but as acceptable ones which did not send property values zooming down, unlike Afros.

If you're interested I encourage you to take a look at those Cleveland docs, there were loads of Slavs in the area in the 30s and you get a good sense of the kind of jobs they had and the quality of neighborhoods they maintained.

M.G. said...

Californian--

Nice to see you. Agree strongly with your first post, and I'll address that when I take on Coates' demand for reparations for slavery.

One qualification I'd make, though, is that 'from he to whom much is given, much is expected.' Just like any bad fallout from women's suffrage must in part be laid at the feet of the men who gave it to them, there is a part of Euro responsibility in letting Afros get so out of hand. Our wildly dysgenic welfare system since the 1960s has created what I'm sure is the most dysfunctional black underclass in N. American history. As we've seen before, black crime, while high before then, has simply exploded since. This is in part because Whites absconded their responsibility to keep this population in check.

When whites take the controls off of blacks, this is what happens....barbarian raiders circling about city walls.

Exactly. But who is ultimately more at fault, Blacks or Whites? And your point about the late 19th / early 20th c. is well-taken--there was a strong reaction then (northern and southern segregation laws/customs). And when the courts put an end to all that in the 1960s, another wave of black violence followed by a more milquetoast reaction (white flight to suburbs). As the feds are currently doing all they can to send the 'Section 8 wrecking ball' into middle-class neighborhoods, what are we on the cusp of now? As you've said before, there's only so much space to flee to...

Anonymous said...

But who is ultimately more at fault, Blacks or Whites?

TWMNBN.  They look White, but hold themselves separate (and superior).

Artur said...

Bonjour MG :

I am finally in Paris.

Wow, this city has changed a lot since I was last here.

I thought I would be prepared for it, but the one thing that really shocked the whack out of me was visiting some of my favorite café-tabac in my old neighborhoods (and elsewhere) and discovering that THEY ARE PRACTICALLY ALL CHINESE-owned now. !! Chinese-owed, with nothing but chinamen (doubtless all blood relatives) behind the counter, barely speak French - just fucking awful. Depressing. Horrific.

I have been quite busy since I got here (on the 13th) , so I haven't had time to put all my thoughts in a coherent package, on how I am perceiving Paris after being here last exactly ten years ago to the month. How fascinating it is visiting now with extensive knowledge of Arthur de Gobineau, Dr. Samuel Morton, Paul du Chaillu et j'en passe.

I will no doubt write more at length about it all when time permits.

One quick thing: if you come to Paris you absolutely MUST visit the musée des Arts et Métiers. It contains many fasbulous inventions, including the world's very first telecommunications system (Claude CHAPPE's semaphore system, the world's first nation-wide telecommunications system), Cugnot's fardier, and Clément Ader's "Avion III," the world's very first motorized aircraft (the lightweight steam engine he designed for this machine is breathtakingly beaiutiful. It's like a Ferrarri engine but fro 1899, steam - powered !).

I have been using the vélb system here which is pretty great. But tomorrow I am going to HOlland to buy an electric bicycle. In FRance you can on;y buy vélo `a assistance électrique, which means you have to pedal to activate the motor. In Holland and Germany apparently they sell fully automatic electric bicycles. In FRance you would need a carte grise, insurance, anfd a driver's license for suchan engin.

Sorry about all the typos I am typing fast before my battery power runs out.

I have a fun project up my sleeve that I think you would appreciate. It involves all those stupid padloks on the bridges of Paris. Call me if you like on my Paris cell phone (07 58 73 24 20), and I will tell you about it.

Best,

- Arturo

YIH said...

You want to see (to quote M.G.) ''the Section 8 wrecking ball'' here it is, courtesy of YouTube, it speaks for itself.

YIH said...

Something I just came across; An UNreality check from Walter Williams.
Standard 'Conservatism Inc' boilerplate of ''Herbert Gutman, author of "The Black Family in Slavery and Freedom, 1750-1925," reports, "Five in six children under the age of six lived with both parents." Also, both during slavery and as late as 1920, a teenage girl raising a child without a man present was rare among blacks.

A study of 1880 family structure in Philadelphia found that three-quarters of black families were nuclear families (composed of two parents and children). What is significant, given today's arguments that slavery and discrimination decimated the black family structure, is the fact that years ago, there were only slight differences in family structure among racial groups.''
As you pointed out the only pre and post ''civil rights'' era that before the 60's marriage (in the form of a piece of paper and a pair of wedding bands that may or may not be worn)
was more common but that ''the babydaddy'' was more often than not, absent (or in prison).
Or more typically turns up on occasion (like when he won at gambling or otherwise got a payday) to throw around some money and to make another offspring, and then vanishes again.

M.G. said...

Bonjour Artur! Ravie que tu sois de retour!

As you know I've never lived there, but I was last up in Paris about three years ago. I did see (and have heard about) the Chinese invasion. I also heard they've become victims of choice for our Chances Pour la France, even moreso than Whites. They actually had a street protest about it at some point.

I also tried the Velib in Toulouse years ago, it's a good system. Heard the Paris one has suffered huge losses (theft / vandalism / etc) though, I didn't know if it was still in operation.

Never been to the musée des Arts et Métiers, it's funny you'd recommend it to me because that is my absolute favorite kind of museum. I spent a month in Munich of which almost a week was holed up in the Deutsches Museum, the biggest, baddest science & technology collection I'd ever seen. Thought I'd died & gone to heaven.

Good luck for your electric bike. I'm sure this is going to be a true adventure. You should post photos. Keep your readers updated!

P.S. Did you see they just let Clément Meric's killer out? Watch out for those antifas quand même...

M.G. said...

YIH--

Scary video. I actually nicked the phrase 'Section 8 wrecking ball' from this 1996 article which gives stats that will make your jaw drop. Lots of these non-working folks enjoy housing that the working class can only dream of. It's like living in backwards-land. The guy in the video even says 'the government paid $1000 a month, she only had to pay $53.' A lot of these landlords think it's a dream set-up, guaranteed rent every month cuz it's coming from Uncle Sam--then they end up with the property trashed. Hope this guy learned his lesson.

Re: Williams' article--he brings some hard truth. How anyone can look at these stats and say 'slavery destroyed the black family' is a mystery. Ta-nehisi Coates makes this very argument in his Atlantic article, and I'll take it on in the piece I'm working on now, which is a response to his demand for reparations for slavery. The Williams article (specifically Gutman's book) is a very handy resource, I'm going to use it. Thanks so much for passing it on.

bjdubbs said...

I'm reading Paul Theroux's book Dark Star, about his trip from Egypt to Cape Town, and he remarks on the same thing: none of the structures are maintained. Instead of maintenance, the old buldings are simply replaced. He ascribes this to the fact that most Africans don't live very long. That doesn't really explain it. Buildings are expensive. If you have enough foresight to buy or build a house, you should have enough to maintain it.

Anonymous said...

Breathtaking work, M.G.

The unaddressed issue in all of the many housing blogs I read is how the American ideal of housing was to have people's homes be the foundation of their civilization and society, with each family unit producing their share of that civilization through respect for law, orderly culture, healthy children, literacy, sound infrastructure, beautiful domiciles/neighborhoods, and so on.

This involved families being offered a way to build capital wealth, but in return they had to create social wealth. It only makes sense that such people, in such a plan requiring such high levels of personal and family investment at every level, would want to live near people like themselves, capable of productive outcomes.

What I can't quite wrap my head around is when that stopped being an American ideal. I guess when the federal government/judiciary outlawed restrictive covenants on the grounds that they didn't let in the very types of people who would destroy that investment. And what more diabolical way to control "the people" than to make it impossible for the best, brightest, and most orderly and hard working to create and grow wealth?

Somehow it has to do with the Financialization Of Everything, which because of my age (56) I attribute to Reagnismo/Greenspanomics...but I also sense it has earlier roots. What, 1913? Was it inevitable that fiat currency would turn everything, even home itself, into a gambling casino with profits concentrated and costs socialized?

Not sure, must read and think more--and read this piece a few more times in doing so. Just wanted to say thank you for another thoughtful piece.

In any event, "Racism" is just code for, "You have no right to want to create YOUR culture, which not everyone can achieve. You must lower your standards, your expectations, your way of life, to the lowest among us."

I think Mr. Coates honks what is lucrative and careerist to honk--a sort of financialization of punditry such as the Internet has intensified (it's about cultivating a reader demographic and feeding them their favorite stuff, rather than examining ideas impartially). If he believed any fraction of what he says, he'd be living in Camden, not NYC. In my years in the Progressive MemePundit industry, I knew a lot of people like him. They not only are dissociated from what regular hard working people value and do, they positively despise it, and them.

M.G. said...

bjdubbs--

It's interesting to see the same pattern at work elsewhere in the world. The 'not living very long' argument seems strained; one would think they'd want to pass buildings on to their children. It seems more a lack of future orientation, connecting today's acts with tomorrow's results. Even progressive writers have long remarked upon this trait in Afros. Baron Lugard, who spent much of his life in British Africa, said:

Perhaps the two traits which have impressed me as those most characteristic of the African native are his lack of apprehension and inability to visualise the future, and the steadfastness of his loyalty and affection.

You also made me think of this 1991 'Time' article about a city in the old Belgian Congo and its slide into the past:

Entire families now camp on sidewalks, in parks and even in cemeteries. Streets and backyards are littered with indescribable filth, and toward the edges of the city the roads crumble into dirty sand and then disappear altogether. [...] "We're back where we started. We're going back into the bush."

M.G. said...

Anon--

Was it inevitable that fiat currency would turn everything, even home itself, into a gambling casino with profits concentrated and costs socialized?

I don't know if it's fiat currency per se. We've been speculating and creating bubbles pretty much since the dawn of money. I see it more as a kind of feminization of mores, where making a bet no longer entails any real risk because the govt (other taxpayers) will bail you out. Kindly Uncle Sam won't let you get a boo-boo. ('you' being an irresponsible home-buyer OR an irresponsible mortgage securitizer) It wasn't always so.

Our system today is poisoned on both sides: One-person one-vote democracy means everyone gets a say on what gets done with tax $$, even those who have no skin in the game. On the other hand, we've a bloated financial industry so powerful it's pretty much got the fed. gov. in a state of regulatory capture. It's like a perfect petri dish for 'privatized profits, socialized losses.'

What I can't quite wrap my head around is when that stopped being an American ideal.

Oh, I think Americans very much still want to live in communities with like-minded people. We've just been swallowed by an equalist religion. This is why SWPLs do all in their power to live around only other SWPLs, all while bleating about how much they adore Afros. Like Soviet apparatchiks lauding the working class, as official doctrine dictated, while pushing their own kids towards cushy govt gigs.

There are still a lot of terrific neighborhoods out there in which to raise a family. Euro-Americans really did saw off the branch on which they were sitting, though, and now the ball is rolling hard with Obama's let's-spread-around-section-8 policies. I really don't know what the endgame will be here.

Thanks for your comments.

Ivan .M said...

I'm left wondering if North American slavery and segregation selected for Afros somewhat more inclined toward Euro behavioral norms. We might not be talking about enough generations for a noticeable genotypic change to occur, but maybe it could if the selection is intense enough?

Perhaps such rapid shifts in a gene pool can reverse just as quickly, unlike traits that developed over thousands of years.

bjdubbs said...

Theroux saw the same thing. The old British colonial houses had reverted huts. He said the only thing that lasts in Africa are the shipping containers that delivers the stuff. The stuff breaks and disappears but the shipping containers last forever. Congo is interesting, there is a good book about the Congo, In the Footsteps of Mr. Kurtz. Mobutu had a Belgian son-in-law who suggested that Mobutu build a resort and bring in lots of foreign currency. The idea of building something was utterly foreign to Mobutu. He would rather spend down what he already had.

Californian said...

Various thoughts...

Our wildly dysgenic welfare system since the 1960s has created what I'm sure is the most dysfunctional black underclass in N. American history.

And it has no end in sight...

There was a time when there was some optimism that by a combination of civil rights and war on poverty, the black underclass could have been lifted up to the level of the white middle class. But we've seen just the opposite over the last half century: the creation of a seemingly permanent underclass whose standard is massive illegitimacy, gangbanging, and trashing of cities. The destruction of black majority rule Detroit ought to be seen as a harbinger of the future. Yet no realistic plan is in the cards to turn things around. Instead, one gets the usual platitudes from liberals (the US need to stop "neglecting" the cities) and conservatives (lower taxes and behold, Detroit shall rise again!).

Entirely neglected is the nature of the denizens of the inner cities, the increasingly low IQ and violence prone, accelerated by welfare state programs. The inner cities are becoming state subsidized reservations for the products of dysgenic breeding.

A point I have seen made is that given the mating patterns of inner city blacks, you have increasing numbers of "teens" having children with their cousins and even half-siblings. Whether or not this is the case is the topic for a separate discussion. But you have to ask if there is some bizarre inbreeding going on here, with the result being a demographic which is spiraling downward.

Perhaps Lothrop Stoddard and Madison Grant had a point...

[continued]

Californian said...

[continued]

There are the politics.

How does one address the underclass' genetic predisposition? Can you see a candidate for office announcing that something needs to be done about those who are disposed to low-IQ/high violence behavior owing to their genetics? There would be massive outrage. No one wants to be told that they are genetically disposed towards certain levels of performance and can never rise above them. Did I say outrage? More likely blood in the streets!

There was a time when this sort of thing was manageable. A century ago white people had the numbers and the spine to deal with these issues realistically. But we have seen that rising tide of color, with blacks et alia becoming considerable voting blocs if not outright majorities. Of course, they are not going to blame themselves. They are going to blame YT. And we've seen the outcome, from Detroit to Congo.

As blacks (and their sycophants) grow in numbers and influence, we also see the suppression of scientific means to deal with the situation: look at Shockley, Rushton, Richwine, and many more. With that suppression comes a further downward spiral.

Magical thinking becomes the norm. Some mystical force called "discrimination" is what is supposedly holding down blacks and causing violence to descend upon their communities. Schools are magical places where any student can receive an "education" regardless of IQ--but that magic "discrimination" creates "bad schools" which fail blacks. The high black incarceration rate has nothing to do with black criminality--no, the Man is putting down the brothers. And tearing out YT's copper wires and selling them on the black market has no relation to the light going out in your city.

To end "discrimination," one performs magic tricks: spend tons of money to close the fabled "achievement gap." Release enough black criminals such that the numbers match up with their demographic. Throw more aid money into Africa. It's magic!

Even black conservatives buy into the stage show. Blacks have high rates of poverty, school failure and crime? Let's wag our fingers in a magic gesture and -- presto! -- blacks will get married and start acting white. Never mind asking how the gangbangers and teen parents are supposed to get to that blissful state.

Disciplined societies (segregation, colonialism, apartheid) might have forced blacks into functional behaviors. Under those societies blacks achieved something close to modern white levels of civilization. Again, the evidence is there from Detroit to Congo. (We might also look at the medieval Sahel kingdoms, under heavy Islamic influence.)

But that kind of discipline is no longer on the table.

More critically, the scientific method is no longer on the table when it comes to race. It just may be a new Dark Ages is in the works.

Laura said...

Blacks may have been shut out of part of the mortgage market, but MILLIONS of blacks have benefitted when middle and upper income white neighborhoods have "gone black."

Black families often end up in relatively new and spacious housing of good quality, while paying only a fraction of what the white families were paying for a house in that neighborhood five years prior. They end up with the fancy kitchens, and 3 1/2 bathrooms, and the monthly payments are less than what an apartment would rent for in a white neighborhood.

Sure, the schools go bad when they go black, but whose fault is that?